Table of Contents
Setup 1: KBL — Accumulation Signal
Stock: Kumari Bank Limited (KBL)
Close Price (March 31, 2026): Rs 232.00 (+1.44%)
Volume: 1,560,007 shares
Turnover: Rs 359.04M
KBL displayed a classic accumulation signal on March 31, 2026: high volume (1.56M shares — exceptionally high for a banking stock) combined with a positive price move (+1.44%). This pattern suggests buyers are systematically absorbing supply at current levels.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Entry Zone | Rs 228 – 232 |
| Stop Loss | Rs 222 – 225 |
| Target 1 | Rs 240 – 242 |
| Target 2 | Rs 248 – 252 |
Setup 2: RIDI — Distribution — Watch, Don't Buy Yet
Stock: Ridi Power Company Ltd. (RIDI)
Close Price: Rs 367.80 (-3.21%)
Volume: 1,305,100 shares
Turnover: Rs 484.81M
RIDI's March 31, 2026 session is a distribution pattern — the highest turnover stock of the market declined 3.21%. This means large holders are selling into available liquidity. Until volume drops significantly and price stabilizes, this is a wait-and-watch situation, not a buy.
| Scenario | Level |
|---|---|
| Strong Support | Rs 350 – 355 |
| Buy Signal | Stabilization + low volume for 2-3 sessions |
| Avoid Until | Volume normalizes (<300K shares/day) |
Setup 3: RSML and BJHL — Momentum Continuation
RSML (Rs 2,679.30, +10%) and BJHL (Rs 578.60, +10%) both hit the upper circuit on March 31, 2026. In NEPSE's market structure, circuit stocks often have carry-over buy orders that push them higher in the next session. However, this is high-risk and requires tight stop-loss management.
- RSML: If it opens strong next session, momentum traders may trail stop at previous day's close (Rs 2,436)
- BJHL: Circuit continuation; stop at Rs 530-540 (previous close zone)
NEPSE Index Setup
NEPSE at 2,851.09 faces immediate resistance at 2,880-2,900. A breakout above 2,900 would be a strong bullish signal targeting 2,950-3,000. Support at 2,820-2,830 protects the uptrend. Any long position in the broader market should use Rs 2,820 as a stop zone.
Risk Management Rules
- Never risk more than 2% of your total capital on a single trade
- NEPSE's 10% daily circuit limits mean positions can gap significantly
- Always have a pre-defined exit plan before entering any trade
- This analysis is educational — not investment advice. Consult a financial advisor for personalized guidance.
FAQs
Best trading setups after NEPSE March 31, 2026?
KBL accumulation, RSML/BJHL momentum, and RIDI distribution watch are the key setups.
Should I buy RIDI after today's decline?
No — distribution pattern on extremely high volume. Wait for volume to normalize first.
Is KBL a buy after today's volume?
KBL's 1.44% gain on 1.56M volume is a bullish accumulation signal. Support at Rs 225-228.
What happens to circuit stocks the next day?
They often open higher with carry-over buy orders but can reverse sharply on profit-taking.
How do I trade momentum stocks on NEPSE?
Buy after circuit breakout with volume confirmation. Use previous close as stop-loss. Manage position size carefully.