NEPSE 2026-10-02: index 2,587.25 (-11.90 pts, -0.46%). RSI(14) 45.43, close below the 20-day SMA of 2,590.40; turnover Rs 4.29 billion. Read: cautious.
NEPSE Today Analysis — 2026-10-02
At the close NEPSE stood at 2,587.25, a move of -11.90 points (-0.46%) on the day from 2,599.15. Intraday the index ranged from 2,582.36 to 2,600.47 after opening at 2,592.26.
Support and Resistance
Support, defined as the closest swing low under the close, is 2,546.69 from 2026-07-14, 1.57% below. The nearest swing high above it is 2,656.54 (2026-08-13), 2.68% away. A swing point here is a high or low that beats the three sessions either side of it. The 20-day band is 2,501.49 to 2,679.90.
Key Levels
Reference levels from the adjusted daily history, highest to lowest:
| Level | Value | Set on |
|---|---|---|
| 52-week high | 2,969.50 | 2026-03-25 |
| 20-day high | 2,679.90 | last 20 sessions |
| Nearest swing high | 2,656.54 | 2026-08-13 |
| Close | 2,587.25 | 2026-10-02 |
| Nearest swing low | 2,546.69 | 2026-07-14 |
| 20-day low | 2,501.49 | last 20 sessions |
| 52-week low | 2,469.37 | 2025-10-26 |
Technical Snapshot
From the daily closes, the close is below the 20-day SMA of 2,590.40 (-0.12%), below the 50-day SMA of 2,627.40 (-1.53%), below the 200-day SMA of 2,691.06. The 14-day RSI sits at 45.43, which is neutral territory. MACD(12,26,9) reads -0.90 against a signal line of -1.91, a positive histogram of +1.01 that is narrowing.
Week in Context
NEPSE stood at 2,629.81 five sessions ago, which makes the one-week move -1.62% and the 21-session move +1.17%. That leaves it -12.87% below the 52-week high of 2,969.50 (2026-03-25) and +4.77% over the 52-week low of 2,469.37 (2025-10-26). Recent session breadth: 2026-10-01 139 up / 128 down; 2026-09-30 109 up / 157 down; 2026-09-29 69 up / 199 down; 2026-09-28 49 up / 224 down.
Trend Direction
All three moving averages (20-day, 50-day, 200-day) sit above the close. Five sessions back the index was at -1.62%, so it is 2,629.81 since then and +1.17% over 21 sessions; the last five closes split 1 up, 4 down. On the rule set (price, breadth, 20-day average, MACD) the read is cautious. Nothing here is advice — it is what the closing data shows.