NEPSE 2026-10-07: index 2,572.34 (-6.39 pts, -0.25%). RSI(14) 43.05, close below the 20-day SMA of 2,596.11; turnover Rs 3.75 billion. Read: negative.
NEPSE Today Analysis — 2026-10-07
The NEPSE index fell 6.39 points (-0.25%) to finish at 2,572.34 against a previous close of 2,578.73. The session opened at 2,578.16, printed a high of 2,579.10 and a low of 2,565.22.
Support and Resistance
The nearest swing low below the close is 2,546.69 (set on 2026-07-14), 1.00% under the close. The nearest swing high above it is 2,656.54 (2026-08-13), 3.27% away. A swing point here is a high or low that beats the three sessions either side of it. The 20-day band is 2,524.55 to 2,679.90.
Key Levels
Reference levels from the adjusted daily history, highest to lowest:
| Level | Value | Set on |
|---|---|---|
| 52-week high | 2,969.50 | 2026-03-25 |
| 20-day high | 2,679.90 | last 20 sessions |
| Nearest swing high | 2,656.54 | 2026-08-13 |
| Close | 2,572.34 | 2026-10-07 |
| Nearest swing low | 2,546.69 | 2026-07-14 |
| 20-day low | 2,524.55 | last 20 sessions |
| 52-week low | 2,469.37 | 2025-10-26 |
Technical Snapshot
From the daily closes, the close is below the 20-day SMA of 2,596.11 (-0.92%), below the 50-day SMA of 2,618.59 (-1.77%), below the 200-day SMA of 2,689.69. Momentum by RSI(14) reads 43.05, a neutral reading. The MACD(12,26,9) line is at -6.51 with the signal at -3.58, leaving a negative histogram of -2.93, and the gap is widening.
Week in Context
Against a close of 2,598.89 five sessions earlier the index is -1.02% on the week, and +1.35% across 21 sessions. Measured from the 52-week extremes it is -13.37% from the high of 2,969.50 (2026-03-25) and +4.17% above the low of 2,469.37 (2025-10-26). Recent session breadth: 2026-10-06 169 up / 95 down; 2026-10-05 32 up / 242 down; 2026-10-02 61 up / 207 down; 2026-10-01 139 up / 128 down.
Trend Direction
The close is below all three moving averages (20-day, 50-day and 200-day). The five-session change is 2,598.89 (from a close of -1.02%) and the 21-session change +1.35%, with 2 of the last five closes up and 3 down. Price, breadth, the 20-day average and MACD together score the close as negative under the fixed rules used here. That is a description of the current state, not a prediction.