Nepal’s wholesale inflation is being driven primarily by food prices and metals, while fuel costs are relatively stable. This suggests that while consumers may see some relief in energy prices, the cost of essential foods and construction-related inputs continues to push wholesale inflation higher, with potential pass-through effects on retail inflation in the coming months.

The National Wholesale Price Index (WPI) for mid-month July–August 2025/26 shows that wholesale prices in Nepal rose by 2.07% year-on-year, reaching 159.28 compared to 156.06 in June–July 2025 and 155.60 in July–August 2024/25. This steady rise reflects pressures in both primary goods and manufactured products, with food and metals emerging as the key cost drivers.
The Primary group (33.59% weight) increased by 3.73% year-on-year, led by a 3.66% jump in food prices. This rise came despite some seasonal adjustments, showing continued demand and supply-side pressure in cereals, vegetables, and other staples. Non-food primary goods also recorded a 4.80% surge, further strengthening the upward momentum.
In the Fuel and Power group (8.76% weight), wholesale prices rose only 1.88% year-on-year, with electricity costs flat at 100.00 but fuel prices still showing 2.46% growth. However, compared to last month, this group saw a slight cooling (-3.10%), reflecting global oil price corrections.
The Manufactured goods group (57.65% weight) rose moderately by 1.09% year-on-year, but certain sub-sectors showed sharp increases. Food, beverage, and tobacco climbed 1.51%, while basic metals surged 0.50% month-on-month but 9.54% compared to June–July 2025, making metals one of the strongest contributors to overall wholesale inflation. Construction-related categories like non-metallic mineral products recovered sharply (+16.73% compared to June–July), reflecting rising infrastructure demand.
By broad economic classification, Consumption goods (32.90% weight) posted the highest increase of 3.89%, reflecting strong consumer demand. Intermediate goods (56.30% weight) inched up 1.14%, while capital goods (10.80% weight) rose 1.09%, indicating modest investment-driven inflation.
Written by
Sandeep Chaudhary
