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The NEPSE Journal

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Market commentary, data deep-dives, and trading notes from the NEPSE Trading desk.

All Articles — Page 226

2793 posts

#NepalEconomy #NationalSavings1 min read
National Savings vs Domestic Savings: A Key 2082/83 Economic Debate
Nepal’s FY 2082/83 debate on savings reveals a stark contrast: national savings are high at 36.2% of GDP, but domestic savings remain low at 6.6%. This shows that remittances, not domestic income, are driving the country’s savings and investment capacity. The challenge is to strengthen domestic production and savings so that Nepal’s economy is not overly reliant on external income.
Sandeep Chaudhary24 Sep, 2025
#NepalEconomy #FixedCapitalFor1 min read
Fixed Capital Formation Decline: What It Means for Investment in Nepal
Nepal’s fixed capital formation has fallen from nearly 30% of GDP in 2020/21 to just 24.1% in 2024/25, signaling weak investment in productive assets. While remittances keep income and savings strong, insufficient transformation into infrastructure and industrial investment limits long-term growth. Reversing this trend through better capital expenditure and private investment incentives is essential for Nepal’s sustainable economic future.
Sandeep Chaudhary24 Sep, 2025
#NepalEconomy #GNDI #Remittanc2 min read
How Gross National Disposable Income Shapes Nepal’s Economy
Gross National Disposable Income (GNDI) plays a decisive role in Nepal’s economy by keeping consumption and savings strong through remittance inflows. It has grown faster than GDP, ensuring stability in household demand and foreign reserves, but also highlights a structural reliance on external income. For Nepal to achieve sustainable growth, high GNDI must be transformed into domestic capital formation and productivity gains.
Sandeep Chaudhary24 Sep, 2025
#NepalEconomy #GrossNationalIn1 min read
Gross National Income in Nepal: Rising or Flattening in 2082/83?
Nepal’s Gross National Income (GNI) is still rising but at a flattening pace, with growth moderating from 14.4% in FY 2021/22 to around 6.7% in FY 2024/25. Strong remittances keep GNI stable, but slower domestic production and investment limit acceleration. The outlook for FY 2082/83 suggests moderate growth, underlining the need for policies that boost capital formation and reduce overdependence on remittances.
Sandeep Chaudhary24 Sep, 2025
#NepalEconomy #RealVsNominalGD1 min read
Real vs Nominal GDP: Understanding Nepal’s 2082/83 Growth Trend
Nepal’s GDP growth in FY 2082/83 highlights a positive shift: real GDP is rising steadily (4.6%) while nominal GDP growth (7%) reflects both production and price stability. Unlike in past years when inflation inflated nominal GDP, the current growth trend is more production-driven, signaling a healthier and more sustainable recovery path.
Sandeep Chaudhary24 Sep, 2025
#NepalEconomy #GDPGrowth #Nepa2 min read
Nepal’s GDP Growth Outlook 2082/83: Signs of Recovery Ahead?
Nepal’s GDP outlook for 2082/83 (FY 2025/26) is cautiously optimistic, with growth projected at around 4.6%. The recovery is supported by strong remittance inflows, improved trade performance, and declining inflation, while risks remain in weak capital formation, modest credit expansion, and underutilized public investment. If the government can mobilize higher capital expenditure and sustain external stability, Nepal is positioned for a stronger and more balanced growth path.
Sandeep Chaudhary24 Sep, 2025
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Nepal’s Export5 min read
Nepal’s Export Boom: Soybean Oil Leads, But Fragile Structure Raises Red Flags
Nepal’s Export Boom: Soybean Oil Leads, But Fragile Structure Raises Red Flags Nepal’s trade statistics for the first two months of fiscal year 2082/83 (mid-July to mid-September 2025) present a paradox. On the surface, the numbers appear highly encouraging. Exports surged by an astounding 88.57 percent, climbing to Rs. 47.31 billion from Rs. 25.09 billion in the same period of the previous fiscal year. This kind of growth, rarely seen in Nepal’s export history, immediately captured headlines and gave policymakers some room to celebrate. But a closer look at the structure of exports tells a different, more sobering story. The surge has been driven disproportionately by one commodity—soybean oil—which alone accounted for 56.84 percent of total exports. The rest of the basket, while diverse, still remains limited to traditional items such as tea, coffee, spices, textiles, garments, carpets, and wool. These goods, though significant, face constraints ranging from global competition to dependence on imported raw materials. Thus, while the numbers shine brightly on paper, the underlying reality suggests that Nepal’s export engine is running on shaky foundations.
NEPSE TRADING23 Sep, 2025
Nepal’s Import2 min read
Nepal’s Import Dependence Deepens: Petroleum, Oils, and Machinery Dominate Trade
Nepal’s Import Dependence Deepens: Petroleum, Oils, and Machinery Dominate Trade Kathmandu – Nepal’s trade data for the first two months of fiscal year 2082/83 (July–September 2025) reveals an import-heavy economy increasingly dependent on petroleum, edible oils, machinery, and vehicles. According to the Department of Customs, total imports stood at Rs. 305.15 billion, while exports were just Rs. 47.31 billion, leaving a massive trade deficit of Rs. 257.83 billion in only two months.
NEPSE TRADING23 Sep, 2025
Financial Literacy3 min read
Margin Trading in Limbo for Two Decades: Policy Ambiguity and Technical Gaps Hold Back Reform
Margin Trading in Limbo for Two Decades: Policy Ambiguity and Technical Gaps Hold Back Reform Kathmandu – It has been nearly two decades since discussions on margin trading began in Nepal’s capital market. Yet the facility remains incomplete and largely ineffective. Introduced to help investors purchase shares even with limited capital, the system has faltered due to policy ambiguity, technical weaknesses, and lack of adequate resources. In 2017 (2074 BS), the Securities Board of Nepal (SEBON) issued a directive on margin trading, raising expectations among investors and brokers. Some brokerage firms even began limited operations. However, confusion in the directive itself, difficulty in mobilizing funds through banks, and systemic bottlenecks forced the service to shut down within a short span of time, leaving investors disappointed.
NEPSE TRADING23 Sep, 2025
#NepalEconomy #BankingSector #1 min read
Savings vs. Fixed Deposit Returns: Are Nepali Households Choosing Long-Term Lock-ins?
Nepali households are increasingly choosing fixed deposits (48% of total) over savings deposits (37%), lured by higher returns. While this ensures security and stable bank funding, it reduces household liquidity and raises banks’ funding costs, reflecting both cautious saver behavior and limited investment alternatives.
Sandeep Chaudhary23 Sep, 2025

NEPSEtrading

Primary issues

Income & debt

Live market

Read & learn

NEPSE Trading Network

Insights & Analysis

All Articles — Page 226

National Savings vs Domestic Savings: A Key 2082/83 Economic Debate

Fixed Capital Formation Decline: What It Means for Investment in Nepal

How Gross National Disposable Income Shapes Nepal’s Economy

Gross National Income in Nepal: Rising or Flattening in 2082/83?

Real vs Nominal GDP: Understanding Nepal’s 2082/83 Growth Trend

Nepal’s GDP Growth Outlook 2082/83: Signs of Recovery Ahead?

Nepal’s Export Boom: Soybean Oil Leads, But Fragile Structure Raises Red Flags

Nepal’s Import Dependence Deepens: Petroleum, Oils, and Machinery Dominate Trade

Margin Trading in Limbo for Two Decades: Policy Ambiguity and Technical Gaps Hold Back Reform

Savings vs. Fixed Deposit Returns: Are Nepali Households Choosing Long-Term Lock-ins?

NEPSEtrading

Primary issues

Income & debt

Live market

Read & learn

NEPSE Trading Network

Insights & Analysis

All Articles — Page 226

National Savings vs Domestic Savings: A Key 2082/83 Economic Debate

Fixed Capital Formation Decline: What It Means for Investment in Nepal

How Gross National Disposable Income Shapes Nepal’s Economy

Gross National Income in Nepal: Rising or Flattening in 2082/83?

Real vs Nominal GDP: Understanding Nepal’s 2082/83 Growth Trend

Nepal’s GDP Growth Outlook 2082/83: Signs of Recovery Ahead?

Nepal’s Export Boom: Soybean Oil Leads, But Fragile Structure Raises Red Flags

Nepal’s Import Dependence Deepens: Petroleum, Oils, and Machinery Dominate Trade

Margin Trading in Limbo for Two Decades: Policy Ambiguity and Technical Gaps Hold Back Reform

Savings vs. Fixed Deposit Returns: Are Nepali Households Choosing Long-Term Lock-ins?