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  3. लगानीकर्ताले के बुझ्ने? आर्थिक संकेत FY2025-26 NRB Guide
1 min readApril 5, 2026(Updated: April 5, 2026)

लगानीकर्ताले के बुझ्ने? आर्थिक संकेत FY2025-26 NRB Guide

Table of Contents

लगानीकर्ताले के बुझ्ने? आर्थिक संकेतहरू

NRB को ८ महिने तथ्यांकले लगानीकर्ताहरूलाई के संकेत दिन्छ?

सकारात्मक संकेत

  • GDP ३.९९% — कम्पनीको आम्दानी बढ्ने आधार
  • विप्रेषण +३७.६७% — उपभोक्ता खर्च बढ्ने
  • पर्यटन +१५.७% — होटल/ट्राभल क्षेत्रको पुनरुत्थान
  • बैंकिङ उप-सूचकांक +६.८१% — वित्तीय क्षेत्र बलियो

नकारात्मक संकेत

  • ब्याजदर ८.४०% — कर्जा महँगो, शेयर बजारमा दबाब
  • NEPSE कारोबार -६९% — तरलता सुक्दैछ
  • महँगी ३.६२% — वास्तविक प्रतिफल घट्दैछ
  • NEPSE वास्तविक प्रतिफल: -०.५५% (३.०७% - ३.६२%)

के गर्ने?

  • बैंक निक्षेप: ४.५४% — हाल सबैभन्दा सुरक्षित
  • शेयर: छनौट गरेर — बैंकिङ र जलविद्युत क्षेत्र
  • सुन: NPR कमजोरीविरुद्ध बचाउ
  • जग्गा: सतर्क — बढ्दो ब्याजदरले मूल्य घटाउन सक्छ

निष्कर्ष

अहिले धैर्यशील र क्षेत्र-केन्द्रित लगानी उचित छ। ब्याजदर घट्ने वा महँगी घट्ने बेलामा बजारमा थप अवसर आउने सम्भावना छ।

Key Points

  • NEPSE real return -0.55%
  • Banking sub-index +6.81% best sector
  • Deposits 4.54% safest option
  • Turnover -69% low liquidity
  • Hydropower credit +10.45%
  • Patience advised until rates decline

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