NEPSE 2026-10-06: index 2,578.73 (+11.97 pts, +0.47%). RSI(14) 44.44, close below the 20-day SMA of 2,594.63; turnover Rs 3.14 billion. Read: neutral.
NEPSE Today Analysis — 2026-10-06
The NEPSE index rose 11.97 points (+0.47%) to finish at 2,578.73 against a previous close of 2,566.76. Intraday the index ranged from 2,557.30 to 2,581.58 after opening at 2,559.20.
Support and Resistance
The nearest swing low below the close is 2,546.69 (set on 2026-07-14), 1.24% under the close. Resistance by the same definition is 2,656.54 (2026-08-13), which is 3.02% higher. Swing points are local extremes over a three-session window on each side; the 20-day band runs 2,524.55 to 2,679.90.
Key Levels
Reference levels from the adjusted daily history, highest to lowest:
| Level | Value | Set on |
|---|---|---|
| 52-week high | 2,969.50 | 2026-03-25 |
| 20-day high | 2,679.90 | last 20 sessions |
| Nearest swing high | 2,656.54 | 2026-08-13 |
| Close | 2,578.73 | 2026-10-06 |
| Nearest swing low | 2,546.69 | 2026-07-14 |
| 20-day low | 2,524.55 | last 20 sessions |
| 52-week low | 2,469.37 | 2025-10-26 |
Technical Snapshot
From the daily closes, the close is below the 20-day SMA of 2,594.63 (-0.61%), below the 50-day SMA of 2,621.40 (-1.63%), below the 200-day SMA of 2,690.08. RSI(14) is 44.44, in the neutral zone. MACD(12,26,9) prints -5.06 versus a -2.84 signal line; the histogram is negative at -2.22 and widening session on session.
Week in Context
Against a close of 2,603.71 five sessions earlier the index is -0.96% on the week, and +2.22% across 21 sessions. Measured from the 52-week extremes it is -13.16% from the high of 2,969.50 (2026-03-25) and +4.43% above the low of 2,469.37 (2025-10-26).
Trend Direction
The close is below all three moving averages (20-day, 50-day and 200-day). Over five sessions the index is -0.96% (from 2,603.71) and over 21 sessions +2.22%; the last five closes were 2 up and 3 down. Combining price, breadth, the 20-day average and MACD, the rule-based read is neutral. That is a description of the current state, not a prediction.