NEPSE 2026-10-12: index 2,595.81 (+4.01 pts, +0.15%). RSI(14) 49.78, close below the 20-day SMA of 2,602.33; turnover Rs 4.47 billion. Read: cautious.
NEPSE Today Analysis — 2026-10-12
The NEPSE index rose 4.01 points (+0.15%) to finish at 2,595.81 against a previous close of 2,591.80. Intraday the index ranged from 2,584.03 to 2,603.72 after opening at 2,595.12.
Support and Resistance
The nearest swing low below the close is 2,557.30 (set on 2026-10-06), 1.48% under the close. The nearest swing high above it is 2,656.54 (2026-08-13), 2.34% away. These levels are three-session pivots from the last 60 sessions; for context the 20-day range is 2,524.55 to 2,679.90.
Key Levels
Reference levels from the adjusted daily history, highest to lowest:
| Level | Value | Set on |
|---|---|---|
| 52-week high | 2,969.50 | 2026-03-25 |
| 20-day high | 2,679.90 | last 20 sessions |
| Nearest swing high | 2,656.54 | 2026-08-13 |
| Close | 2,595.81 | 2026-10-12 |
| Nearest swing low | 2,557.30 | 2026-10-06 |
| 20-day low | 2,524.55 | last 20 sessions |
| 52-week low | 2,469.37 | 2025-10-26 |
Technical Snapshot
Technically, the close is below the 20-day SMA of 2,602.33 (-0.25%), below the 50-day SMA of 2,610.59 (-0.57%), below the 200-day SMA of 2,688.90. Momentum by RSI(14) reads 49.78, a neutral reading. The MACD(12,26,9) line is at -5.62 with the signal at -4.96, leaving a negative histogram of -0.66, and the gap is narrowing.
Week in Context
Against a close of 2,566.76 five sessions earlier the index is +1.13% on the week, and +1.98% across 21 sessions. Measured from the 52-week extremes it is -12.58% from the high of 2,969.50 (2026-03-25) and +5.12% above the low of 2,469.37 (2025-10-26). Recent session breadth: 2026-10-09 180 up / 89 down; 2026-10-08 140 up / 127 down; 2026-10-07 100 up / 167 down; 2026-10-06 169 up / 95 down.
Trend Direction
All three moving averages (20-day, 50-day, 200-day) sit above the close. Five sessions back the index was at +1.13%, so it is 2,566.76 since then and +1.98% over 21 sessions; the last five closes split 4 up, 1 down, with a 3-session winning streak now. On the rule set (price, breadth, 20-day average, MACD) the read is cautious. Nothing here is advice — it is what the closing data shows.