Complete NEPSE Analysis March 30, 2026
This is the definitive end-of-day analysis of the Nepal Stock Exchange for March 30, 2026. NEPSE closed at 2,831.39, declining 47.71 points (-1.65%) in a broad-based selloff that affected every sector. Here is everything you need to know.
Index Movement Summary
The NEPSE composite index shed 47.71 points, one of the larger single-day declines in recent weeks. All related indices also fell:
- NEPSE: 2,831.39 (-47.71 | -1.65%)
- Sensitive: 481.58 (-7.90 | -1.61%)
- Float: 194.25 (-3.20 | -1.62%)
- Sensitive Float: 164.72 (-2.55 | -1.52%)
Complete Sector Performance
- Trading: 3,948.10 (-2.56%) — Worst
- Others: 2,305.19 (-2.13%)
- Finance: 2,512.15 (-2.00%)
- Hydropower: 3,898.93 (-1.93%)
- Banking: 1,479.52 (-1.86%)
- Non-Life Insurance: 11,382.73 (-1.82%)
- Sensitive: 481.58 (-1.61%)
- Investment: 108.08 (-1.59%)
- Sensitive Float: 164.72 (-1.52%)
- Life Insurance: 13,113.53 (-1.40%)
- Microfinance: 5,035.09 (-1.30%)
- Dev Bank: 6,109.69 (-1.24%)
- Hotels: 7,497.48 (-1.18%)
- Manufacturing: 10,392.34 (-0.21%) — Best
Turnover Analysis
Market turnover remained above average, concentrated heavily in hydropower:
- RIDI: Rs. 684.11M | 1,779,480 shares | +0.80%
- NGPL: Rs. 438.09M | 930,482 shares | +0.64%
- SHIVM: Rs. 437.98M | 639,693 shares
- API: Rs. 385.58M | 1,092,308 shares | +0.45%
- NHPC: Rs. 378.71M | 1,232,205 shares | -2.90%
- SYPNL: Rs. 330.60M | 172,132 shares
Top Gainers
- RLEL: Rs. 363 (+10.00%)
- RSML: Rs. 2,435.80 (+10.00%)
- HFIN: Rs. 318 (+10.00%)
- BJHL: Rs. 526 (+10.00%)
- SKHL: Rs. 439.20 (+9.99%)
- SKHEL: Rs. 343.90 (+9.98%)
- SAPDBL: Rs. 1,048.30 (+9.83%)
Top Losers
- SOHL: Rs. 675 (-7.79%) — Vol: 402,902
- UNLB: Rs. 1,680 (-7.23%)
- CYCL: Rs. 1,630 (-6.86%)
- MPFL: Rs. 656 (-4.93%)
- SJCL: Rs. 329 (-4.05%)
- CORBL: Rs. 1,871.80 (-3.96%)
Technical Snapshot
- RSI: Approaching oversold (35-38)
- MACD: Bearish crossover, negative histogram
- Pattern: Bearish marubozu candle
- 20-DMA: Price below — bearish
- 50-DMA: Price above — medium-term still okay
Tomorrow's Outlook: March 31, 2026
Base Case (55%): Consolidation
NEPSE trades in 2,815-2,845 range. Volume decreases as sellers exhaust. Banking tests current levels. Likely outcome after such a sharp single-day decline.
Bullish Case (25%): Bounce
Oversold conditions trigger buying. Market opens near 2,830, rallies to 2,855-2,870. Banking and hydropower lead. Volume increases on buying — this would confirm the correction is over.
Bearish Case (20%): Continuation
Selling continues, 2,800 breaks intraday. Test of 2,780-2,790. Finance and microfinance lead losses again. This scenario intensifies if global markets are negative overnight.
Key Levels for Tomorrow
- Support: 2,810 → 2,800 → 2,780
- Resistance: 2,845 → 2,860 → 2,880
- Pivot: 2,830
Final Recommendation
The market correction is testing investor resolve. Maintain discipline: follow your strategy, use stop-losses, and focus on quality over quantity. The stocks that show strength today (RIDI, API, NGPL, RSML) are your best bets for the recovery phase. Stay informed with NepseTrading for real-time updates and analysis.