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Market Decline: NEPSE Falls by 59 Points, Trading Volume Increases

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NEPSE trading

Market Decline: NEPSE Falls by 59 Points, Trading Volume Increases

On Monday, all market indices declined, causing the NEPSE index to drop by 59 points, closing at 2529 points. The total trading volume reached NPR 5.66 billion, an increase compared to the previous day's NPR 5.09 billion.

  • NEPSE Index: Decreased by 59 points to 2529 points.

  • Trading Volume: NPR 5.66 billion.

  • Companies with Price Increases: 14.

  • Companies with Price Decreases: 229.

  • Unchanged Companies: 1.

Sector-wise Decline:

  • Banking: -1.27%

  • Development Banks: -2.46%

  • Finance: -5.56%

  • Hotels and Tourism: -3.34%

  • Hydropower: -2.89%

  • Investment: -2.73%

  • Life Insurance: -2.35%

  • Manufacturing: -1.81%

  • Microfinance: -2.56%

  • Non-life Insurance: -2.69%

  • Others: -2.22%

  • Trading: -3.93%

Top Gainers:

  • Himalayan Hydropower: +9.8%

  • Excel Development Bank: +8.1%

  • Rawa Energy: +5.3%

  • Nepal Finance: +5.1%

  • Matribhoomi Laghubitta: +5%

Top Losers:

  • Goodwill Finance: -10%

  • Samriddhi Finance: -10%

  • Eastern Hydropower: -10%

  • Progressive Finance: -8.5%

  • Reliance Finance: -8.4%

  • Guheshwari Merchant Finance: -8.3%

Although the market showed a decline, the increase in trading volume indicates continued investor activity. While most companies experienced a price drop, some showed significant gains.

Technical Analysis of NEPSE:

  1. Price Trend: NEPSE is currently in a downtrend. According to the Fibonacci retracement, NEPSE is approaching key support levels, hovering between the 0.786 and 0.618 levels. If these support levels are breached, the market may face further decline.

  2. Bollinger Bands: The current price is near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating an oversold condition. This suggests the possibility of a minor correction; however, without positive news, the decline may continue.

  3. Accumulation/Distribution Line (Acc/Dist): The Acc/Dist line is on a downward trend, indicating increasing selling pressure. A falling line suggests that investors are selling their shares, and new buying interest is low.

  4. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The divergence between the MACD line and the signal line is negative, and the MACD histogram is also negative, confirming weakness in the market and supporting the possibility of further decline.

  5. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 37.13, close to the oversold zone. While RSI below 30 might present a buying opportunity, the current level indicates market weakness.

  6. Volume: Recent volume levels have been low, indicating investor indecision or caution ahead of a potential major market move.

Overall, the technical analysis suggests weakness in NEPSE. Attention should be paid to the Fibonacci retracement support levels, as a break below them could intensify the decline. Indicators like Bollinger Bands, MACD, and RSI show oversold conditions, which could lead to a correction in the future. However, the market remains fragile, and caution is advised. Investors should analyze potential risks and opportunities before making decisions.

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