नेप्से हरियालीमा बन्द, जलविद्युत् र लगानी समूहले बजारलाई चम्काएNEPSE Closes Green; Hydropower and Investment Sectors Shine
काठमाडौं । साताको पहिलो कारोबार दिन आइतबार नेप्से परिसूचक हरियालीमा बन्द भएको छ। अघिल्लो बिहीबार देखिएको सुधारलाई निरन्तरता दिँदै नेप्से परिसूचक ३.५८ अंकले बढेर २६६१.६० विन्दुमा पुगेको छ। सेन्सेटिभ इन्डेक्स १.८१ अंकले, फ्लोट इन्डेक्स ०.०७ अंकले र सेन्सेटिभ फ्लोट इन्डेक्स ०.४५ अंकले उक्लिएका छन्।
कारोबार रकममा उल्लेखनीय वृद्धि देखिएको छ। बिहीबारको ७ अर्ब ८७ करोड रुपैयाँको तुलनामा आइतबार १० अर्ब ८७ करोड रुपैयाँभन्दा बढीको कारोबार भएको छ। ८९ हजारभन्दा बढी पटकको कारोबारमा २ करोड ८४ लाख कित्ता सेयर किनबेच भएको हो।
नेपाल माइक्रो इन्स्योरेन्स र क्रेष्ट माइक्रो लाइफ इन्स्योरेन्सको सेयर मूल्य सर्किट लेभलमा पुगेका छन्। भूगोल इनर्जी, ङादी ग्रुप पावर, सानिमा माइ हाइड्रोपावर र अरुण भ्याली पावर डेभलपमेन्ट कम्पनीका सेयरहरू पनि ७ प्रतिशतभन्दा बढीले उक्लिएका छन्। यद्यपि विन नेपाल लघुवित्त १० प्रतिशतले घटेर सबैभन्दा ठूलो गिरावट देखाउने कम्पनी बन्यो।
कारोबार रकममा ङादी ग्रुप पावर शीर्ष स्थानमा रह्यो, जसको कारोबार ८६ करोड १७ लाख रुपैयाँभन्दा बढीमा सीमित रह्यो।
प्राविधिक विश्लेषण : बजार सपोर्टमा टिकेको, तर अझै प्रष्ट दिशा बाँकी
नेप्से परिसूचकले डबल बटम जस्तो देखिने संरचनाबाट समर्थन लिएको देखिन्छ। अघिल्लो सेसनको डोजी क्यान्डल पछि बजारले सपोर्ट एरियाबाट उकालो लाग्ने संकेत देखाएको छ। कारोबार रकम पनि उल्लेखनीय रूपमा बढेको छ, जसले सपोर्ट बेसबाट रिभर्सलको सम्भावना बलियो बनाएको छ।
तर, मिडल ब्यान्ड ब्रेकआउट नभएकाले बजारले अझै प्रष्ट दिशा समातेको छैन। भोलिको मन्त्रीपरिषद् बैठकमा नयाँ गभर्नर नियुक्ति सकारात्मक रहेमा बजारले बलियो ब्रेकआउट देखाउन सक्ने अपेक्षा गरिएको छ।
ब्रोकर विश्लेषण : खरिदतर्फ चासो बढ्दै
ब्रोकर ५८ ले सबैभन्दा धेरै १६३ करोड रुपैयाँ बराबरको कारोबार गरेको छ, यद्यपि बिक्री अलि बढी देखिएको छ। ब्रोकर ४५ र ३४ ले खरिदतर्फ बलियो चासो देखाएका छन्। विशेषगरी ब्रोकर ५७ को खरिद-बिक्री अनुपात १.१७ रहेको छ, जुन खुद्रा लगानीकर्ताको सक्रियता देखाउँछ।
हिटम्याप विश्लेषण : जलविद्युत् र लगानी समूह चम्किए
जलविद्युत् समूहमा ङादी ग्रुप पावर, अपर हेवा र राधी विद्युत कम्पनीले क्रमशः ७.५५%, ७.०७% र ७.१२% वृद्धिको दर देखाए। लगानी समूहमा पनि जुम्ल्याहा वृद्धि देखिएको छ — जस्तै ज्क्ष्म्ऋीए ८.०५% र ज्क्ष्म्ऋी ४.७७%ले उक्लिएका छन्।
यद्यपि बैंकिङ र माइक्रोफाइनान्स समूहमा दबाब कायमै छ। कुमारी बैंक र नेपाल इन्भेस्टमेन्ट बैंकका सेयरहरू क्रमशः १.८१% र १.१२%ले घटेका छन्।
बजार सपोर्ट क्षेत्रमा टिक्न सफल भएको छ र जलविद्युत् तथा लगानी समूहको चमकले केही सकारात्मकता भित्रिएको छ। तर प्रमुख बैंकिङ स्टकहरूबाट बलियो समर्थन नआउँदासम्म नेप्से परिसूचकले बलियो ब्रेकआउट दिन सजिलो छैन। भोलिको राजनीतिक निर्णयले बजारको आगामी दिशा निर्धारण गर्नेछ।
Kathmandu – The Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) closed in the green on Sunday, the first trading day of the week, continuing the recovery seen last Thursday. The NEPSE index rose by 3.58 points to settle at 2661.60 points. Similarly, the Sensitive Index climbed 1.81 points, the Float Index gained 0.07 points, and the Sensitive Float Index increased by 0.45 points.
There was also a notable surge in turnover. Compared to Thursday’s NPR 7.87 billion, Sunday’s market saw a massive turnover of over NPR 10.87 billion, with shares of 314 companies traded more than 89,000 times, totaling over 28.4 million shares exchanged.
Nepal Microinsurance and Crest Micro Life Insurance shares once again hit the circuit level. Nepal Microinsurance's stock jumped by NPR 94.70 to close at NPR 1042.50, while Crest Micro Life Insurance soared by NPR 78.30 to NPR 861.90.
Other notable gainers included Bhugol Energy Development, Ngadi Group Power, Sanima Mai Hydropower, and Arun Valley Power Development Company — all posting gains of over 7%.
On the downside, VIN Nepal Laghubitta became the day’s biggest loser, plunging by 10%.
In terms of trading volume, Ngadi Group Power led the chart with transactions worth over NPR 861.7 million. NRN Infrastructure and Radhi Vidyut Company followed, each recording turnover above NPR 560 million.
Out of 13 sub-indices, 6 subgroups closed higher, while 7 ended lower. The Investment subgroup led the gainers, rising by 1.77%, followed by Hydropower and Trading, which each posted over 1% gains. On the flip side, the Finance subgroup dragged, slipping by 1.05%.
Technical Analysis: Market Holding Support, Awaiting Clear Breakout
The NEPSE index appears to have formed a double-bottom-like support structure in recent sessions. Last session’s doji candle at support indicated hesitation but also a refusal to fall further.
Today (Sunday), the market tried — but failed — to break above the previous session’s doji high. However, the important takeaway is that NEPSE is holding near support, and turnover has significantly increased — a classic sign that a reversal from support could be starting.
NEPSE touched the middle Bollinger Band but couldn't clearly break above it yet, meaning the market still lacks a decisive breakout.
Politically, the market is optimistic about the upcoming Cabinet meeting tomorrow, where a new Governor appointment is expected. If the appointment is positive, technically the market looks ready for a support-based breakout.
Broker Analysis: Buying Interest Rising
Broker transaction data shows buying appetite is increasing.
Broker 58 had the highest transaction volume, recording over NPR 1.63 billion worth of trades. However, sales slightly outpaced buys, hinting at some profit booking.
Broker 45 and Broker 34 showed strong buying interest, with buy-sell ratios above 1, signaling investor confidence.
Broker 57 posted the highest buy/sell ratio of 1.17, suggesting retail investors are becoming more aggressive on the buying side.
Heatmap Analysis: Hydropower and Investment Spark the Rally
While NEPSE showed only modest overall gains, sectoral movements were very different underneath.
Hydropower sector dominated —
Ngadi Group Power (+7.55%), Upper Hewakhola (+7.07%), and Radhi Vidyut (+7.12%) all posted sharp gains.Investment sector also shined —
Citizen Investment Trust (+8.05%) and Nepal Investment Bank (+4.77%) saw strong jumps.The Life Insurance sector was another bright spot, with National Life Insurance rising by 5.08%.
However, not all sectors joined the party:
Banking sector underperformed —
Kumari Bank (-1.81%) and Nepal Investment Bank (-1.12%) dragged the sector down.Microfinance sector also struggled, with many companies closing deep in the red.
Other sectors like Hotels, Trading, and Others showed mixed performance.
NEPSE has held strong at the support area, backed by a surge in buying volume.
However, until the major banking stocks show strength, a clear bullish breakout remains uncertain.
Still, the positive momentum from Hydropower and Investment sectors is keeping market optimism alive.
Tomorrow’s political event — Governor appointment — could be the real game-changer.
