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The NEPSE Journal

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Market commentary, data deep-dives, and trading notes from the NEPSE Trading desk.

All Articles — Page 112

2873 posts

Top3 min read
Inflation Falls Sharply as Food Prices Enter Deflation; Wage Growth Weakens Amid Slow Economic Activity
Inflation Falls Sharply as Food Prices Enter Deflation; Wage Growth Weakens Amid Slow Economic Activity Nepal’s inflation dynamics have shifted significantly over the past year, with headline inflation moderating sharply and food prices entering deflation for the first time in several years. According to the latest macroeconomic indicators, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has fallen to 2.20 percent in 2024/25, down from 3.57 percent last fiscal year and well below the peaks witnessed during the inflationary period of 2021/22 and 2022/23. While falling inflation offers relief to consumers, economists warn that such a steep decline may also signal weakening demand and a slowdown in overall economic activity. The most notable change appears in the Food CPI, which has plunged into negative territory, declining by –1.19 percent in 2024/25. The mid-October figure, however, shows a temporary spike to 7.20 percent, suggesting seasonal volatility and supply-side fluctuations. The projected figure for mid-October 2025/26, at –2.54 percent, points toward a possible return to food price deflation. Analysts caution that persistent deflation in food commodities could hurt farmers’ earnings while reflecting subdued purchasing power among consumers.
Dipesh Ghimire16 Nov, 2025
Top3 min read
Deposits Surge but Loan Growth Stagnates, Exposing Deepening Stress in Nepal’s Economy
Deposits Surge but Loan Growth Stagnates, Exposing Deepening Stress in Nepal’s Economy Nepal’s banking sector is witnessing an unusual imbalance in financial flows as deposits continue to grow rapidly while loan expansion remains subdued. According to Nepal Rastra Bank’s (NRB) latest three-month data for FY 2082/83, deposits at banks and financial institutions (BFIs) increased by 3 percent, but private-sector lending grew by only 1.5 percent in the same period. This widening gap underscores the deepening fatigue within the economy, where liquidity remains plentiful but credit demand remains historically weak. On an annual point-to-point basis, the mismatch is even more evident. By the end of Ashoj 2082, total deposits at BFIs had risen by 13 percent, but private-sector credit expanded by only 7.3 percent. Economists say the disparity reflects weakening business confidence, political uncertainty, and slow capital expenditure that have collectively eroded the appetite for fresh borrowing.
Dipesh Ghimire16 Nov, 2025
Top3 min read
Half of Commercial Banks Cut Fixed Deposit Rates for Mangsir as Liquidity Surplus Deepens
Half of Commercial Banks Cut Fixed Deposit Rates for Mangsir as Liquidity Surplus Deepens Commercial banks have once again reduced their fixed deposit interest rates for the month of Mangsir, continuing a trend of declining deposit rates amid persistent liquidity surplus and weak credit demand. Newly published rate sheets from 20 commercial banks show that 10 banks lowered their individual fixed deposit rates, while the remaining 10 banks maintained the rates of Kartik without revision. The split decision reflects a sector grappling with excess funds but limited avenues for lending.
Dipesh Ghimire16 Nov, 2025
Top3 min read
Nepal Receives Record Remittance in Ashoj, Surging Past NPR 200 Billion in a Month
Nepal Receives Record Remittance in Ashoj, Surging Past NPR 200 Billion in a Month Nepal’s remittance inflow has reached an unprecedented level, setting a new monthly record in Ashoj with over NPR 201.22 billion entering the country. According to the latest data released by Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB), this is the highest remittance ever recorded in a single month, surpassing all previous highs. The central bank attributes the surge to the festive season surrounding Dashain, Tihar and Chhath, during which Nepalis abroad traditionally send more money to support their families back home.
Dipesh Ghimire16 Nov, 2025
Top3 min read
Nepal’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Near NPR 30 Trillion: Strong External Stability Despite Slowing FDI
Nepal’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Near NPR 30 Trillion: Strong External Stability Despite Slowing FDI Nepal’s foreign exchange reserves have reached their strongest level in recent years, rising to NPR 29.79 trillion by the end of Ashoj 2082, according to the latest macroeconomic update released by Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB). The reserves grew by 11.3 percent within three months—an expansion driven primarily by moderating imports, record-high remittance inflows, and a sharply improving current account position. Economists say the surge in reserves reflects a “remarkable strengthening” of Nepal’s external sector, though underlying trends in foreign investment and long-term capital inflows remain concerning.
Dipesh Ghimire16 Nov, 2025
Top3 min read
Kathmandu–Nijgadh Fast Track: A Multidimensional National Project Racing Against Time
Kathmandu–Nijgadh Fast Track: A Multidimensional National Project Racing Against Time Amid a national climate dominated by political instability, protests, party disputes, and bureaucratic delays, the Kathmandu–Nijgadh Fast Track project has emerged as a rare symbol of hope. With only 17 months remaining before the revised deadline of Chaitra 2083, the project is once again under scrutiny as the Nepal Army reiterates its commitment to completing the long-awaited national pride project on time.
Dipesh Ghimire14 Nov, 2025
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Top2 min read
World Bank Projects Nepal’s Growth at 4.7% Next Year, Driven by Reconstruction Activities
World Bank Projects Nepal’s Growth at 4.7% Next Year, Driven by Reconstruction Activities The World Bank has projected that Nepal’s economy will achieve 4.7 percent growth in the coming fiscal year, primarily supported by reconstruction and rehabilitation activities. The global lender’s latest report indicates that although Nepal experienced economic strain this year, the pace of rebuilding could push the economy toward moderate recovery. According to the report, the service sector, which contributes the most to Nepal’s GDP, is expected to witness the largest negative impact during the review period. Tourism, retail, transportation, and hospitality sectors continue to suffer due to weak investor confidence, lower consumption, and slow economic activities. Despite these challenges, the World Bank believes that if Nepal ensures political stability and maintains sound economic management, the service sector could recover gradually and support overall economic growth.
Dipesh Ghimire14 Nov, 2025
Top2 min read
Power Supply Restored to All Industries After First Installment Payment of Dedicated and Trunk Line Dues
Power Supply Restored to All Industries After First Installment Payment of Dedicated and Trunk Line Dues Nepal Electricity Authority (NEA) has restored electricity supply to all industries that were previously disconnected for failing to pay premium tariffs under the dedicated and trunk line consumption category. According to the authority, power supply has resumed after the industries cleared the first installment of their dues as part of the 28-installment repayment plan announced earlier.
Dipesh Ghimire13 Nov, 2025
#NepalFPO #SEBON #NEPSE #Micro1 min read
SEBON Releases Latest FPO Pipeline—Over Rs. 229 Million Under Review
Total FPO Pipeline Value: Over Rs. 229 million Main Sector: Microfinance only Companies in Pipeline: Matribumi Laghubitta, National Laghubitta & Vijay Laghubitta Premium Pricing: National Laghubitta updated to Rs. 270.49 per share Regulatory Environment: SEBON actively requesting updates & compliance documents Market Outlook: Microfinance institutions showing strong need for capital expansion in FY 2082/83
Sandeep Chaudhary13 Nov, 2025
#NepalRightShare #SEBON #NEPSE1 min read
Nepal’s Right Share Pipeline 2082/83: Over Rs. 3.8 Billion in Capital Expansion
Total Right Shares Under Preliminary Review: 38.22 million Total Value: Rs. 3.82 Billion Major Sectors Involved: Hydropower, Insurance, Investment, Manufacturing Hydropower holds the largest share of rights applications Insurance companies actively raising capital post-merger & regulatory compliance SEBON applying strict scrutiny: additional documents, updates, revised ratios Right-share activity expected to rise in FY 2082/83
Sandeep Chaudhary13 Nov, 2025

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All Articles — Page 112

Inflation Falls Sharply as Food Prices Enter Deflation; Wage Growth Weakens Amid Slow Economic Activity

Deposits Surge but Loan Growth Stagnates, Exposing Deepening Stress in Nepal’s Economy

Half of Commercial Banks Cut Fixed Deposit Rates for Mangsir as Liquidity Surplus Deepens

Nepal Receives Record Remittance in Ashoj, Surging Past NPR 200 Billion in a Month

Nepal’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Near NPR 30 Trillion: Strong External Stability Despite Slowing FDI

Kathmandu–Nijgadh Fast Track: A Multidimensional National Project Racing Against Time

World Bank Projects Nepal’s Growth at 4.7% Next Year, Driven by Reconstruction Activities

Power Supply Restored to All Industries After First Installment Payment of Dedicated and Trunk Line Dues

SEBON Releases Latest FPO Pipeline—Over Rs. 229 Million Under Review

Nepal’s Right Share Pipeline 2082/83: Over Rs. 3.8 Billion in Capital Expansion

NEPSEtrading

Primary issues

Income & debt

Live market

Read & learn

NEPSE Trading Network

Insights & Analysis

All Articles — Page 112

Inflation Falls Sharply as Food Prices Enter Deflation; Wage Growth Weakens Amid Slow Economic Activity

Deposits Surge but Loan Growth Stagnates, Exposing Deepening Stress in Nepal’s Economy

Half of Commercial Banks Cut Fixed Deposit Rates for Mangsir as Liquidity Surplus Deepens

Nepal Receives Record Remittance in Ashoj, Surging Past NPR 200 Billion in a Month

Nepal’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Near NPR 30 Trillion: Strong External Stability Despite Slowing FDI

Kathmandu–Nijgadh Fast Track: A Multidimensional National Project Racing Against Time

World Bank Projects Nepal’s Growth at 4.7% Next Year, Driven by Reconstruction Activities

Power Supply Restored to All Industries After First Installment Payment of Dedicated and Trunk Line Dues

SEBON Releases Latest FPO Pipeline—Over Rs. 229 Million Under Review

Nepal’s Right Share Pipeline 2082/83: Over Rs. 3.8 Billion in Capital Expansion